The thunderstorms flourished on Kerala, Konkan and Mumbai along the west coast and the Odisha coast, as well as parts of the center of India on Wednesday, it is even expected that the beginning of the monsoon in the continent next week. | Photo credit: www.meteologix.com/in
The Department of Meteorology of India (IMD) and the global forecast models see a spectacular start of the monzón, with swarms of precursor storms that assault the Konkan/ Mumbai to the coast of Kerala with ferocity around the next few days. It is forecast that the monsoon will arrive on the continent (Kerala Costa) before May 27, with a four -day model error on each side.
The Arab marine arm of the Monzón that makes its way in the Maldives and Sri Lanka and, later, Kerala, can make a better initial impression of India than in the arm of the Bengal Bay that looks at its climate forecasts of a medium and northeast middle range of the region valid for the next 10-15 days.
Probably vortex out of the coast
It is likely that the flowering will be supervised by a vortex formation right next to the Konkan coast, after the bay’s arm loses its early advantage in the starting phase. It is possible that the bay has to wait a little longer for a circulation to shoot and handle its own flows.
A monzonic vortex, also called the monsoon start vortex, is a cyclonic circulation or a low pressure area that plays a key role in the ONET. A vortex is formed over the seas with a maximum surface temperature that helps intense convection and cloud formation.
Warm oceanic pool
On Wednesday night, the warmer waters with temperatures of up to 31 ℃ (far beyond the threshold of 27.5 ℃ that supports the low pressure areas/ storms) extended from the southern sea of southern Arabia around Lakshadweep and outside the northern coast of Kerala.
Very warm water enamel also presented to the bay off the coast of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, and further in Central Bay, around the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and the extreme waters of the southeast of the Bay, washing the coast of Myanmar.
Robust start seen
The Center for the Meteorological Service/ EE Climate.
This phase also raises perspectives for the formation of a storm of the Philippines in the North Pacific -Stest, which falls under the largest monsoon channel that regulates the rain, as well as on the bay. It remains to be seen if these two complement each other or one yields to the other, and with it a most moisture, in a typical session of Tit-For-Tat between the competitors.
Posted on May 14, 2025
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